Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Probability
23¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$148.48
Probability (last 7 days)
+20.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 994h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 45.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 994.1h
- 13:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 994h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 23¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 23¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 25¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.2pp
to 39¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.1pp
to 47¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 30¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 21¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.6pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.8pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.8pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.7pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.2pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.3pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.4pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.4pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 15¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢+0.7pp
Will LeBron James win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 10¢0.0pp
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 14¢+0.5pp
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Deni Avdija win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player E win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player J win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player X win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player AA win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-15.0pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $2.3M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $785.0K
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $694.5K
- 100¢+57.5pp
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovic
Sports · Vol $655.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (45.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).