Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Probability
43¢
1h
+6.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$325.33
Probability (last 7 days)
+30.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 43¢; +6.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1249h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 86.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1249.3h
- 22:40SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1249h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Biggest hourly move: +33.0pp at 2d ago (to 46¢).
Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
- 12:00 · -10.5pp → 36¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +33.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +28.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +28.0pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 12¢0.0pp
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Darius Garland win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 24¢-0.5pp
Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Brandon Ingram win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Bam Adebayo win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player I win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-56.5pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $5.3M
- 100¢+51.4pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.5M
- 66¢+12.0pp
Knicks vs. Hawks
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 100¢+52.4pp
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Sports · Vol $1.5M
Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NBA Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 17, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (86.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.