Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-11.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
-2.7pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 2d ago (to 3¢).
Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
- 02:00 · -3.3pp → 0¢
- 00:00 · -3.2pp → 0¢
- 22:00 · -3.4pp → 0¢
- 21:00 · -3.3pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -3.4pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -8.8pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -8.4pp → 4¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.