Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Probability
17¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$140.42
Liquidity
$8.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $8.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5943.1h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.5pp at 08:00 (to 17¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 08:00 · +3.5pp → 17¢
- 06:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 20:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 18:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 17:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 16:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 14:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 12:00 · +3.0pp → 17¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarycredible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.