Will Mark Gordon win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
7¢
1h
-6.4pp
24h
+0.7pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$7.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2754.6h
- 05:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2755h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 4¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 3¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 3¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 6¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).