Will Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$128.74
Liquidity
$392.93
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 782.8h
- 09:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 783h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.9pp
to 18¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.3pp
to 28¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 29¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 17¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 32¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 0¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 0¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 1¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 0¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 2¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 1¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 0¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.8pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.7pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.4pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.4pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.6pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.9pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.7pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).