Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$240.97
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14780.4h
- 08:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14780h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 61¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 65¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 52¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 53¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 52¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 52¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 64¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 52¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 53¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 53¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (61.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).