UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 7, 2026

Will Sporting CP finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?

Probability

74¢

1h

+10.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$7.68

Liquidity

$57.16

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 74¢; +10.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1010h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 43.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1009.9h

    LOW
  • 22:06Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1010h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 74¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Primeira Liga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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