SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 16, 2026

Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Probability

7¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.2pp

24h Vol

$16.8K

Liquidity

$118.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.6pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:00

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $16.8k traded against $118.9k of visible liquidity (0.14× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1231h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1231.0h
LOW
17:01Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1231h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
15:00Price
Probability down -4.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -4.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -4.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -4.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -4.7pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -5.1pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -4.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.8pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.5pp
to 4¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventNBA Western Conference Champion

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26 NBA Western Conference Finals based on the rules of the NBA. If the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals winner is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jun 16, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket