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OtherExpires May 31, 2026

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.30 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$21.08

Liquidity

$386.78

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $387 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 850.1h

    LOW
  • 13:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:55Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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