Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.30 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$21.08
Liquidity
$386.78
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $387 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 850.1h
- 13:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:55PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 51¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 51¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 74¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 66¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 66¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 66¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).