Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.10 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$8.08
Liquidity
$113.35
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $113 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 846.2h
- 17:49SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +29.0pp at 07:00 (to 50¢).
Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
- 12:00 · +3.5pp → 50¢
- 09:00 · +29.0pp → 50¢
- 07:00 · +29.0pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the data available at that timeAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowdashboard.ornnai.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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