Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on April 28?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-21.9pp
24h Vol
$6.64
Liquidity
$134.67
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 22pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 73h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $135 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 72.6h
- 15:24SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 73h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.9pp
to 16¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.3pp
to 16¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 23¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 36¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 48¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 27¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.2pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.1pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.2pp
to 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).