0xd7864bf703d63a39198c7853528516a04653fd96
0xd7864bf703d63a39198c7853528516a04653fd96
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$590.00
Total PnL
$106.45
Realised
$-4.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 14.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$35.09
$30.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?
28 shares @ 18.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.50
$22.50
- NO
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$26.32
$21.32
- NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$22.73
$17.73
- NO
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
18 shares @ 27.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$18.32
$13.32
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$16.67
$11.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?
16 shares @ 30.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.30
$11.30
- NO
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.29
$9.29
- NO
Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$13.53
$8.53
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.82
$7.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.00Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$6.04Apr 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$5.00Apr 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?$5.00Apr 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00Apr 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$5.00Apr 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 28, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$7.35Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$18.52Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$0.00Apr 25, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$0.00Apr 25, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$0.00Apr 25, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.00Apr 24, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$7.15Apr 24, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?$5.00Apr 23, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$5.81Apr 23, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$5.00Apr 23, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.