0xf95de02bc4906d9cef74393beb7ca4f8e246383e
0xf95de02bc4906d9cef74393beb7ca4f8e246383e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.48
Total PnL
$2.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$0.13
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.12
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.44
$1.44
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$0.12
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.17
$0.09
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.09
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.13
$0.06
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.12
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.09
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?$1.07Apr 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.30Apr 8, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.10Apr 8, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.18Apr 7, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.07Apr 4, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.05Apr 3, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.89Apr 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.10Apr 3, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.10Apr 3, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.07Mar 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$1.09Mar 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.61Mar 25, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.93Mar 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.09Mar 24, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.