Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

1. 1

   Up 8pp over 24h

   Now 14¢; +8.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5983h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 14.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.