EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Probability

2¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-47.0pp

24h Vol

$166.67

Liquidity

$1.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 47pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 48h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 48h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 48 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 48.0h

    HIGH
  • 23:58Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 48h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-47.0pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventWhat will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Market Description

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

6 wallets
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