Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$440.80
Liquidity
$713.05
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 55h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $713 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 55h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 55 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 55.3h
- 16:43SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 55h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 3¢0.0pp
Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $231.80
- 13¢0.0pp
Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $165.66
- 15¢0.0pp
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $166.67
- 16¢0.0pp
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $6.06
- 50¢0.0pp
Will "Show B" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will "Show D" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will "Show F" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will "Show H" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
Market Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix showAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.