Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)

1. 1

   Up 14pp over 24h

   Now 50¢; +15.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 100.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paolini" if Jasmine Paolini wins by 2 or more sets than Hailey Baptiste, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baptiste." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.