Sabalenka vs. Cristian: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

1. 1

   Up 12pp over 24h

   Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 65.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jaqueline Cristian in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.