0x0d3181b9ce92ee3aeb9fae0d2ea43ff391c5158e
0x0d3181b9ce92ee3aeb9fae0d2ea43ff391c5158e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$86.60
Total PnL
$-2.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58 shares @ 39.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.88
$2.88
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35 shares @ 25.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
85 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9 shares @ 57.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$4.62
$0.62
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.45
$-0.55
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.45
$-0.55
- YES
US military draft authorized in 2026?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-0.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.42
$0.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.04May 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$11.34May 12, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.15May 12, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.48May 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$3.00May 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$1.03May 12, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.02May 12, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$2.07May 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$8.29May 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$1.02May 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$2.03May 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$4.09May 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$2.08May 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$4.00May 12, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".