Warmhearted-Ball
0x105631bc70e00caa2b7615389d75db60bbbb5b18
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-807.36
Realised
$142.56
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
1198 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.2K
$371.38
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 70.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.84
$-23.86
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
201 shares @ 36.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$49.24
$-23.11
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
33 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$33.00
$5.31
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
93 shares @ 42.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$31.16
$-8.70
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
72 shares @ 11.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.00
$10.08
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
334 shares @ 19.4¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.36
$-49.43
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
1 shares @ 36.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$0.35
- YES
NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?
854 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-290.36
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
418 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-209.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?$468.78Apr 27, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?$426.71Apr 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by December 31?$273.36Apr 21, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.85Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$809.00Apr 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$18.17Apr 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$187.86Apr 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$358.70Apr 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$4.04Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$88.40Apr 11, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.70Apr 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$50.25Apr 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$425.25Apr 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$8.25Apr 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$82.50Apr 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$358.70Apr 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$18.17Apr 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$108.12Apr 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$34.52Apr 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$449.68Apr 11, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $174.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.