Fancy-Doughnut
0x1167928d748801b06b3a025e1a5359cff598d1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$623.38
Total PnL
$-313.04
Realised
$21.35
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
387 shares @ 34.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$265.10
$129.82
- YES
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
79 shares @ 74.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$60.60
$1.68
- YES
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
1376 shares @ 14.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$55.02
$-146.25
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
340 shares @ 9.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$42.50
$11.90
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
35 shares @ 33.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$30.45
$18.90
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
250 shares @ 30.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$28.75
$-46.75
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
21 shares @ 18.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$21.06
$17.24
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
37 shares @ 35.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.76
$4.81
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.54
$1.05
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
70 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.95
$1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$80.63Jun 8, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.20Jun 8, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$67.46Jun 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.49Jun 3, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$4.34Jun 3, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.81Jun 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.64Jun 2, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$51.58Jun 2, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$12.95May 28, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$13.00May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$1.97May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$7.38May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$8.81May 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$2.98May 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$3.19May 9, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$3.19May 8, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Gomez advance from the CA-34 primary election?$3.35May 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.65May 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.33May 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$19.34May 8, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.