Extra-Small-Caftan
0x126d8007c5facabe83dc4dc32e11f6d47f8ef863
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$984.38
Total PnL
$-12.71
Realised
$-7.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
250 shares @ 72.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.25
$-4.75
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$147.41
$-2.59
- YES
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
135 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$133.08
$3.30
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 35.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$88.20
$45.70
- NO
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
79 shares @ 95.9¢·now 91.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.36
$-3.69
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
105 shares @ 66.6¢·now 58.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$61.54
$-8.46
- YES
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
55 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$55.00
$0.00
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
43 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$41.03
$1.03
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
35 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$34.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.95
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$55.01May 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.00May 14, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$2.09May 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$4.19May 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$30.00May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$30.00May 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$35.02May 14, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$250.25May 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$40.14May 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$150.58May 14, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$18.26May 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$20.66May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$30.84May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$30.80May 14, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$30.04May 14, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$20.40May 6, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?$50.50May 6, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?$52.00May 6, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$20.02May 4, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?$50.10May 4, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".