Avaricious-Representative
0x1294da2eeb65416e1bf007c6b428ef13fdf29151
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$626.88
Total PnL
$-510.25
Realised
$21.76
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
1132 shares @ 56.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$401.86
$-232.06
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
548 shares @ 34.2¢·now 23.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$129.60
$-57.81
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
798 shares @ 36.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$75.81
$-211.47
- YES
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.30
$-8.90
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
76 shares @ 37.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.94
$-23.18
- YES
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$0.65
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
2 shares @ 12.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$1.40
- YES
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
2 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.27
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
2 shares @ 20.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMNew pandemic in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" or "CNN" in Rome, GA on February 19?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMOver $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zama launch a token in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Cup?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMDundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$531.00Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $186.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.