Fickle-Feather
0x15add1176cd6f0be9f9e536e5a0d2414b42d4fc4
Quality score
71/100
Open positions
10
Open notional
$20.08
Total PnL
$-2.60
Realised
$-0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 58.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$-0.08
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.43
$-0.03
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
9 shares @ 36.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.27
$-0.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$0.01
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.91
- NO
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.01
$-0.03
- NO
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.16
- NO
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.451h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.962h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.982h ago
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$1.007h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$0.008h ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$1.0010h ago
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$2.1913h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.6913h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$2.6513h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$1.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.4013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.1614h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.0214h ago
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.2014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.0414h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.4514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.0014h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.