Friendly-Bidder
0x1768d595d2b1e49eb19958ec9cb2673eaa3d5975
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
145
Open notional
$5.91
Total PnL
$-214.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$1.12
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
10 shares @ 28.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-1.28
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-0.86
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
611 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
506 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 8, 2026?
279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$4.35Jun 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$1.00May 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00May 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00May 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.00May 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Apr 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.22Apr 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1.00Apr 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.00Apr 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Apr 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$3.13Apr 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$4.09Apr 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.