Serious-Phenotype
0x18195307b31e74e49a3651a50fdb5951dc6f91ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$54.53
Total PnL
$-4.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$0.11
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.14
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.55
$0.15
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.54
$0.44
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.26
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.04Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.26Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$10.10Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko$2.05Jun 10, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.75Jun 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.02May 9, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.03May 9, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.00May 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko$1.10Apr 7, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$4.40Apr 7, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.10Apr 7, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Mar 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.00Mar 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.00Mar 20, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.47Mar 20, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2.70Mar 20, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.39Mar 20, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.49Mar 20, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.