0x1943a8f233f9f1b3c4de9d29d9aeabc07aef12f2
0x1943a8f233f9f1b3c4de9d29d9aeabc07aef12f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$45.93
Total PnL
$-12.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.31
$-0.69
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 19.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.93
$2.93
- YES
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.82
$-2.18
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 17.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
119 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.60
$-0.53
- YES
Will Little Joe escape again?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 14.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.29
$-0.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.50May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?$1.05May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$1.05May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?$1.05May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Little Joe escape again?$1.05May 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNick Fuentes arrested by June 30?$1.04May 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$1.06May 15, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Little Joe escape again?$1.05May 15, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$7.69May 14, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: G2 Gozen vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMParma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 10?$0.00May 14, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".