Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

1. 1

   Up 5pp over 24h

   Now 78¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $15.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.