Terrible-Stimulus
0x1b9fa39441c4aad26d889563b20d69392e93c0d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-627.80
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
993 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$993.00
$129.09
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
548 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$548.00
$147.96
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
627 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$379.33
$-15.68
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
366 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$366.00
$54.90
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
93 shares @ 74.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.66
$8.84
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
21 shares @ 85.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$21.00
$3.02
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
35 shares @ 54.6¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.02
$-11.10
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.30
- NO
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-0.26
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$509.74Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$727.72Apr 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$577.43Apr 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?$863.91Apr 23, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$582.56Apr 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$247.27Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$793.16Apr 21, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?$280.00Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$429.00Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$827.00Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$969.00Apr 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$14.60Apr 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$45.70Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?$126.72Apr 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$158.08Apr 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$203.30Apr 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$198.55Apr 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$60.30Apr 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$198.55Apr 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?$203.30Apr 13, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $285.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.