Austere-Analysis
0x1becccf58d755603e908ea72d5944fb13db2999c
active
Quality score
82/100
Open positions
4
Open notional
$269.46
Total PnL
$-27.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
185 shares @ 72.2¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$172.60
$39.06
- YES
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
305 shares @ 26.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.71
$-9.86
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
155 shares @ 46.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.42
$-52.11
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.73
$-4.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.0022d ago
- YIELD$0.0043d ago
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$11.4043d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$30.0343d ago
- YIELD$0.0044d ago
- YIELD$0.0045d ago
- YIELD$0.0046d ago
- YIELD$0.0047d ago
- YIELD$0.0048d ago
- YIELD$0.0049d ago
- YIELD$0.0050d ago
- YIELD$0.0051d ago
- YIELD$0.0052d ago
- YIELD$0.0053d ago
- YIELD$0.0054d ago
- YIELD$0.0055d ago
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.0455d ago
- YIELD$0.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$12.2456d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$11.3456d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 90d ago
- Last active
- 22d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.