0x1bf6b4e2841017106416d505c9eac7515a911c25
0x1bf6b4e2841017106416d505c9eac7515a911c25
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$123.78
Realised
$0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
579 shares @ 38.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$373.55
$153.55
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
433 shares @ 71.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.64
$-22.37
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
367 shares @ 61.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$269.77
$44.77
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.56
$55.56
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
179 shares @ 83.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$153.47
$3.47
- NO
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$115.32
$16.12
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.05
$2.05
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$98.18
$-1.82
- NO
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?
399 shares @ 17.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.80
$30.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
56 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.06
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$100.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.004h ago
- TRADESELLAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$2.781d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$25.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$50.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$150.001d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$337.682d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$30.002d ago
- TRADEBUYAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$50.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$79.242d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$60.552d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$40.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$100.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$211.812d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$20.004d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$100.004d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$131.934d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$150.004d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $81.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.