0x1c8151a40fec837a0fb5aea4f3e5a3bf75ba3dff
0x1c8151a40fec837a0fb5aea4f3e5a3bf75ba3dff
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$152.38
Total PnL
$-25.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
294 shares @ 24.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.46
$-21.37
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
65 shares @ 61.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$37.74
$-2.06
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$30.58
$0.58
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
118 shares @ 12.6¢·now 14.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.41
$2.49
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.18
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.36May 18, 11:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$18.75May 15, 21:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.31May 11, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$32.79May 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$40.26May 11, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$109.83May 10, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$35.61May 9, 15:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$21.40May 8, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $36.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".