Unnatural-Screwdriver
0x1ea30f94abc7e888ab0e8956b8f4756a8e104a36
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$154.33
Total PnL
$-35.45
Realised
$-23.84
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
26 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$25.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
26 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$25.10
$0.10
- NO
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
26 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$25.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
25 shares @ 98.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$24.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$15.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$12.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 17?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
51 shares @ 34.6¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.72
$-7.98
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.77
$-0.63
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 17?$10.04Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$25.02Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$25.04Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$25.04Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?$25.03Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.36Jun 11, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$39.05Jun 11, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$14.83Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$12.01Jun 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$83.92Jun 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$80.00Jun 7, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00Jun 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$15.01Jun 4, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.07Jun 1, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?$20.04Jun 1, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?$26.11Jun 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?$20.00May 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$35.00May 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$40.00May 19, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.