0x2070944802e5a7e3220c9532ca65d19474eba694
0x2070944802e5a7e3220c9532ca65d19474eba694
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$369.11
Total PnL
$-33.29
Realised
$8.56
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 47.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.52
$6.55
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.88
$-0.94
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
51 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.70
$0.13
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
71 shares @ 57.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.85
$2.26
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.09
$0.54
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
32 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.07
$0.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
65 shares @ 46.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.72
$-6.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 81.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.66
$-1.95
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
18 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.32
$1.72
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
85 shares @ 34.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.53
$-12.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 7, 2026?$11.0719h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?$7.5922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$29.0722h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$19.3722h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$25.8322h ago
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$9.3822h ago
- REDEEMWill Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?$0.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red on May 4, 2026?$10.283d ago
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$53.465d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$50.825d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$9.955d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$27.665d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$85.035d ago
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?$0.045d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4.695d ago
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$4.696d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$22.616d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$22.606d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$15.076d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$22.956d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15d ago
- Last active
- 19h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
