0x23dbcdbc4b37e5de83f3acda66a56e2ccbc8e37f
0x23dbcdbc4b37e5de83f3acda66a56e2ccbc8e37f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-268.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
460 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
235 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
224 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
49 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
42 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?
41 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
26 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- NO
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
22 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$0.01Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?$0.32Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$2.08Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$2.47Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?$3.52Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$3.68Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?$3.12Jun 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$4.22Jun 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$0.29Jun 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.69Jun 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$2.53Jun 4, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?$2.98Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?$2.53Jun 3, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?$4.31Jun 2, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?$2.55Jun 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$2.54Jun 1, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$2.62Jun 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.72May 30, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?$2.52May 29, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.