0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5
0x2503bdb78d9a2af985f9423c10554f3e1b179be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$732.33
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$152.18
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
549 shares @ 53.4¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.44
$-146.91
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
243 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$122.46
$-3.64
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
706 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.36
$45.88
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
128 shares @ 79.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.84
$-0.03
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
522 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.73
$39.13
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
35 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.28
$1.62
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
147 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$24.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.57
$-1.43
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
19 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.53
$3.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?$21.33Jun 14, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?$20.74Jun 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?$0.73Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$26.04Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.67Jun 14, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$9.60Jun 14, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.19Jun 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.40Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.40Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$3.11Jun 12, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$1.09Jun 12, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$59.07Jun 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$62.60Jun 6, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$62.90Jun 3, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$4.07Jun 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$6.92Jun 2, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.83Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.15Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$0.09Jun 1, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$12.09Jun 1, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $23.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.