Mushy-Prophet
0x3054c0653c070873dde428e01fe7664e982d8428
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$112.81
Total PnL
$-3.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?
13 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.59
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.25
$-0.37
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.79
$0.11
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.76
$0.16
- NO
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.99
$0.00
- NO
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.77
$0.33
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.99
$0.02
- NO
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?
6 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.99
$0.18
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.74
$0.28
- NO
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.73
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$6.00May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$0.74May 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$3.93May 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$6.63May 13, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$10.00May 13, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$5.90May 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?$5.80May 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$5.97May 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$6.99May 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?$9.62May 13, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.00May 12, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$10.00May 12, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.00May 12, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$9.00May 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$5.97May 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.44May 12, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?$6.00May 12, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?$7.00May 11, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$7.00May 9, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$3.98May 9, 17:31 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".