Utilized-Roast
0x3133f475dff03ea8102caf929fb574c0d8a80ba5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$97.83
Total PnL
$-0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
17 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$16.68
$2.00
- YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$13.26
$3.05
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.52
$0.51
- NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.03
$0.02
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.15
$3.18
- NO
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$1.90
- NO
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.98
$0.13
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.96
$0.53
- NO
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.91
$0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.00Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$6.36Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$14.46Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$19.51Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00May 30, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$3.01May 30, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.00May 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$0.00May 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?$0.00May 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Randall be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$2.79May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Willett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$2.79May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pamela Stevenson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$2.80May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$3.67May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$3.91May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$5.00May 23, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heavenly Kimes be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?$5.00May 23, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.