Our-Evolution
0x32b61f77818ee062a1cf0ad4312752879e1a2f9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$29.3K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$9.06
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
14364 shares @ 41.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.9K
$5.9K
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
8000 shares @ 54.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.9K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
4150 shares @ 50.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.8K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
1700 shares @ 70.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$399.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
1400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$679.00
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
700 shares @ 48.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$584.50
$247.19
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1918 shares @ 17.1¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$457.52
$129.41
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$415.00
$245.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
639 shares @ 46.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$364.47
$64.47
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.75Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$100.00Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$8.80Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$41.97Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.94Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$18.61Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?$117.54Jul 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$31.67Jul 28, 04:54 UTC
- YIELD$1.75Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$1.25Jul 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$0.40Jul 27, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$3.68Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$2.81Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$1.00Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$14.81Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$0.46Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$0.27Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in July?$30.38Jul 27, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$255.00Jul 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$103.67Jul 27, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $51.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.