0x348bcf7d9596da7b57dfc94642db527097bede3b
0x348bcf7d9596da7b57dfc94642db527097bede3b
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$133.54
Total PnL
$-20.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
85 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.01
$2.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
28 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.58
$6.59
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
72 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$16.29
$-4.71
- YES
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
79 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.67
$0.40
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
15 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$14.28
$0.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
64 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.12
$-6.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$-15.93
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 34.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.54
$-2.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
55 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.2210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$14.2910h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$14.7410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$19.7410h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$75.1210h ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$2.4512h ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$2.171d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.172d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.208d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.1913d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$8.3913d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.9014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.2214d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$8.9015d ago
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$17.8119d ago
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$21.0021d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.9921d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$13.9921d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $18.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
