Edible-Granddaughter
0x37b46a9d45509eed664e302eb70b14ffed50d5e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$93.11
Realised
$12.00
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$477.25
$17.25
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$472.50
$12.50
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?
419 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$404.04
$18.24
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?
441 shares @ 86.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$399.11
$18.75
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?
383 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$357.53
$9.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
383 shares @ 84.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$319.80
$-4.42
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?
333 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$296.37
$-9.99
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?
316 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$295.46
$7.90
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?
294 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$286.03
$18.93
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
275 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$258.91
$5.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?$78.34Jul 23, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks $0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.00Jul 23, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $97.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.