Bogus-Personnel
0x3978c221d67ccf4a08d0efc772ab3c09e32d4309
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$40.44
Total PnL
$-774.18
Realised
$-152.96
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
41 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.44
$7.35
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
1648 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-130.57
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
731 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-135.47
- YES
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
500 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-278.98
- NO
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
303 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-27.07
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
137 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.30
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
106 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.19
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.26May 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$65.67May 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$88.00May 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$2.62May 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$5.04May 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$44.17May 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$22.40May 23, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$52.22May 23, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$119.99May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$33.00May 16, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$190.00May 9, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.00May 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.25May 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$9.00May 1, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 30?$6.32May 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.5KApr 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$8.9KApr 30, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$11.50Apr 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$93.20Apr 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$96.19Apr 24, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $530.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.