Creamy-Silkworm
0x39be5f19ded35c7f0a256f90af39e38e43c45e7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-635.23
Realised
$198.53
Win rate
38%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
1348 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.3K
$862.72
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
597 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$597.00
$0.60
- CAMPBELL FIGHTING CAMELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
629 shares @ 86.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$314.50
$-226.44
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$7.00
$0.35
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
66 shares @ 33.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-19.90
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.06
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$-1.00
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.35
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
1 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.00
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$89.10Mar 30, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$75.15Mar 30, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$72.45Mar 30, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?$151.11Mar 26, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Chicken" during National Agriculture Day events?$85.55Mar 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chicken" during National Agriculture Day events?$124.70Mar 25, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$4.00Mar 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$120.64Mar 24, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?$94.17Mar 23, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$124.64Mar 23, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$218.79Mar 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$217.26Mar 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$51.00Mar 18, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00Mar 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00Mar 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?$46.00Mar 18, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$117.50Mar 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$51.00Mar 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$45.22Mar 16, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $200.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".