0x3ca81324968a3a21f1f810af5755116113480a93
0x3ca81324968a3a21f1f810af5755116113480a93
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$61.92
Total PnL
$-117.39
Realised
$9.91
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
10 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.93
$6.24
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.02
$3.02
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
9 shares @ 39.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$0.75
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
16 shares @ 35.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.28
$-1.47
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.07
$1.57
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.20
$1.20
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.25
$-0.25
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.78Jun 5, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.50Jun 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.62Jun 5, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.04Jun 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.03Jun 5, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.04Jun 4, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jun 3, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.06Jun 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.25Jun 3, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.60Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.25Jun 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.50Jun 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.71Jun 1, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.89Jun 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.77Jun 1, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.25Jun 1, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.32Jun 1, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2.50Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".