Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody
0x3d60a4dcf361d6eed01bfadd0c6cfc2ac8866df2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$-83.87
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
161 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$161.02
$1.53
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
71 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.53
$8.28
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
63 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$62.75
$2.76
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
60 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$60.01
$2.05
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$59.40
$2.40
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
58 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.29
$0.55
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$53.70
$5.10
- NO
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
54 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$52.14
$-0.19
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
49 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.89
$3.89
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
48 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$47.95
$2.63
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.