Warm-Boatload
0x3f73b7ace2bb5c65705bf0b7ec5f40693ae8acef
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1061 shares @ 18.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$408.34
$207.98
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
4398 shares @ 39.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$222.08
$-1.5K
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
6497 shares @ 12.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.18
$-645.41
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
411 shares @ 61.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.75
$-115.37
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
523 shares @ 5.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.06
$18.08
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
154 shares @ 9.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.93
$22.88
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?
8540 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
4157 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
2524 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-325.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$5.3KJun 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$500.00Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$117.33May 23, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$605.81May 23, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$34.63Apr 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$412.50Apr 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$7.62Apr 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$57.99Apr 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$3.88Apr 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$12.90Apr 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$235.76Apr 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$29.29Apr 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$204.34Apr 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$142.21Apr 23, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$217.35Apr 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$84.80Apr 23, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.84Apr 23, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$70.55Apr 23, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$19.38Apr 23, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$48.70Apr 23, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $419.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.