Gullible-Waveform
0x3fe9e1b5258a48cd5271c4991ebeeab6823b8308
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$15.1K
Total PnL
$349.08
Realised
$-318.84
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3012 shares @ 58.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$649.15
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
2000 shares @ 76.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$312.16
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2150 shares @ 71.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$190.25
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1700 shares @ 91.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.7K
$131.75
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
1660 shares @ 85.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$194.96
- YES
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?
974 shares @ 87.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$955.35
$106.10
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1550 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$937.75
$-38.75
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1033 shares @ 58.3¢·now 80.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$829.07
$226.96
- YES
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
781 shares @ 86.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$768.48
$89.32
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1550 shares @ 12.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$602.95
$416.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$93.78Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.24Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$51.60Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$330.00Jun 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$320.54Jun 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$3.88Jun 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.07Jun 11, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$5.57Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$699.98Jun 11, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.37Jun 10, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$220.00Jun 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$27.98Jun 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$236.01Jun 9, 01:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.13Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$170.33Jun 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$265.68Jun 7, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.30Jun 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$280.19Jun 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$102.45Jun 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$271.14Jun 3, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $112.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.