Frilly-River
0x40413bb8a4ea027c54bba89c0a13b8e68533ca54
Quality score
96/100
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.7K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$2.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
4000 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.0K
$42.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
1888 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.9K
$71.45
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1578 shares @ 46.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.4K
$670.89
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
1150 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.1K
$22.20
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
1000 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$997.50
$12.50
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1070 shares @ 22.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$700.82
$461.54
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
700 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$694.40
$6.70
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$495.00
$25.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
394 shares @ 88.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$313.23
$-33.49
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 93.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$295.95
$14.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$25.267h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$26.007h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$53.007h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$26.257h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.257h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.258h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$32.238h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$73.759h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$85.009h ago
- YIELD$0.0217h ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$90.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$68.002d ago
- YIELD$0.023d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$29.993d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$39.463d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$54.123d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$4.823d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$49.453d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $210.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.