0x436b9530e9ff4ce3cdff8119fc7e5afe50d7765c
0x436b9530e9ff4ce3cdff8119fc7e5afe50d7765c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$247.76
Total PnL
$24.85
Realised
$14.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 49.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$85.90
$35.90
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
44 shares @ 45.4¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$31.70
$11.70
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 58.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$27.17
$7.18
- CHENNAI SUPER KINGS
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$24.46
$-5.54
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.69
$3.69
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.45
$-8.55
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.79
$0.09
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.83
$-5.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$30.49May 18, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.28May 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.47May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings$0.00May 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings$19.37May 15, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.89May 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$51.02May 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.78May 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$3.22May 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.86May 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.86May 14, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.01May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$4.86May 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$4.86May 14, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.59May 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.05May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.05May 14, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.01May 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?$0.00May 13, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".